TO:           TEAM TRUMP

FROM:     TONY FABRIZIO

RE:           PRESIDENT TRUMP IS ON THE VERGE

DATE:      OCTOBER 31, 2024

I know there is a great deal of polling and data “noise” out there as the media continues their unabashed and unprecedented shilling for Kamala Harris. So, as we head into the final weekend before Election Day, I wanted to give you an update on where we stand based on public polling averages with a look back at where we were 5 days out from Election Day in 2020.

The following table shows the Real Clear Politics polling averages 5 days out in 2020 vs today nationally and in each Battleground State.

As the table clearly illustrates, President Trump’s position nationally and in every single Battleground State is SIGNIFICANTLY better today than it was 4 years ago. In fact, President Trump holds the lead in 5 of the 7 Battleground States that account for over 270 Electoral Votes.

I point this out NOT to stoke overconfidence or complacency, but to illustrate just how close this election is and that victory is within our reach. But the fact remains that we still have a great deal of work to do. While the analysis of early and absentee vote returns in each state are promising, we know that the bulk of President Trump voters will vote on Election Day. So, our continued efforts to turnout our voters are crucial.

As Harris and her campaign struggle to find a closing argument that addresses voters’ worries about inflation, their jobs, taxes, illegal immigration, crime and an unstable world, our closing argument of “Kamala broke it, President Trump will fix it” puts Harris’ failures on each of those issues in stark contrast to President Trump’s successes – and voters are responding positively.

Over the next 5 days there will be a continual barrage of public polling and analysis – some positive and some negative. It is crucial we do not get distracted by the media noise and remain focused on our closing message, persuading the few remaining undecided voters and turning out our base.

Read the memo HERE.