It's that time of year again. Fox is releasing atrocious polling. 

 

A look at polling from this same time period in 2020 shows that Fox was off in North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada from either 5.3% to 9.7%.  [Fox's only Georgia poll in 2020 was released in June and that one overstated Joe Biden's support by 1.7%.]

 

President Trump continues to outperform polling from past cycles. President Trump is 10 points ahead of where he was in Arizona at this point in 2020, according to Fox. Likewise, he is running 8 points ahead of his 2020 polling in Nevada and 5 points ahead of his 2020 polling in North Carolina.

 

We see the same trend nationwide.

 

A look at the RealClearPolitics average in Pennsylvania, for example, shows President Trump 6 points ahead of where he was at this point in 2020 and 9.4 points ahead of where he was in 2016.

 

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